Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 7.514896 8.611702 9.830152 11.287099 12.985784 14.908424 17.256003
2025-02-09 6.213763 7.665811 9.414988 11.688803 14.583237 18.166688 22.973383
2025-02-16 5.154486 6.698948 8.669683 11.390519 15.083456 19.969582 27.004172
2025-02-23 4.480594 6.073066 8.202180 11.290437 15.710828 21.894055 31.346594
2025-03-02 3.967177 5.572459 7.805849 11.185889 16.252232 23.692866 35.688297
2025-03-09 3.539073 5.128192 7.417483 11.014373 16.631320 25.248783 39.825662
2025-03-16 3.165682 4.715319 7.017960 10.759198 16.821411 26.498113 43.603654
2025-03-23 3.021368 4.625934 7.085345 11.218722 18.172226 29.730645 51.111432
2025-03-30 2.825338 4.433023 6.966415 11.355394 18.993329 32.166239 57.569756
2025-04-06 2.614030 4.193188 6.744840 11.289417 19.447414 34.003571 63.181697
2025-04-13 2.417418 3.957953 6.505796 11.162119 19.767394 35.621412 68.589926
2025-04-20 2.324729 3.887526 6.535262 11.505837 20.975863 39.021499 78.037722
2025-04-27 2.216845 3.783822 6.501537 11.738982 22.020079 42.274386 87.794967
2025-05-04 2.151028 3.747839 6.583423 12.195030 23.550837 46.698217 100.841449
2025-05-11 1.983742 3.514192 6.284246 11.885577 23.505323 47.862217 106.745457
2025-05-18 1.860122 3.350350 6.099658 11.780955 23.865975 49.928072 115.095256
2025-05-25 1.747435 3.197614 5.922375 11.671413 24.199849 51.971974 123.736327
2025-06-01 1.636658 3.039653 5.721365 11.491679 24.357485 53.633272 131.699726
2025-06-08 1.525872 2.873181 5.489862 11.224299 24.287146 54.752043 138.443591
2025-06-15 1.503077 2.878241 5.601669 11.705823 25.983472 60.313137 158.188733
2025-06-22 1.447105 2.812119 5.562106 11.849057 26.902095 64.090773 173.697138
2025-06-29 1.375025 2.707640 5.434095 11.779911 27.299918 66.602330 186.022538
2025-07-06 1.302520 2.597058 5.284477 11.646505 27.523463 68.690593 197.490718